Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-03-16 · 14:30
116.605.8%
X9.1910.4%
21.1483.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Darmstadt
LLDLLLDLLL
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Bayern Munich
DWWWLWWLLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
2.00
2.20
Conceded
1.90
60%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.40
1H goals
2.30
1.30
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
6.30N=10
3.70
Against
2.90
8.10
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
2.00
2.20
Goals conceded
1.90
2.70
Total goals
3.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Darmstadt attack

0.50goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.90
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

2.00goals per match
Darmstadt conceded2.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.20
1H goals scored
1.20
1.20
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.80
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
6.30N=10
3.70
Corners against
2.90
8.10
Match total
9.20
30%3/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.40N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.90
Match total
4.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
9.10N=10
24.40
Match total
20.30

Shots

12.70N=10
Shots
16.10N=10
4.00
On target
6.00
4%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home5.8%7.7%+1.9 pp
Draw10.4%15.4%+5.0 pp
Away83.8%76.9%-6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.6%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.553.8%
BTTS61.5%

Historical average

0.853.08

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-215.4%
1-57.7%
0-27.7%
1-07.7%
0-77.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.157.46
Average total10.62

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.584.6%
Over 9.576.9%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Away FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI

Remaining goals

2.00

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals70.0%
3+ goals40.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away80.0%