Bundesliga · 2023/24
2024-03-15 · 19:30
16.5414.7%
X4.7220.4%
21.4864.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

FC Koln
LWDLDDLWLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
RB Leipzig
WWLLWDLDLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.70
Scored
1.80
1.30
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.30
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
5.00N=10
5.70
Against
4.50
12.20
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.70
Goals scored
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
2.00
Total goals
3.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

0.70goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.80
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

1.80goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.40
2H goals scored
1.20
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
80%8/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
5.70
Corners against
4.50
12.20
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.10
Match total
5.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
90%9/10

Fouls

11.70N=10
Committed
10.00N=10
21.00
Match total
23.00

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
4.70
On target
5.70
5%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches87
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.7%16.1%+1.4 pp
Draw20.4%17.2%-3.1 pp
Away64.9%66.7%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.537.9%
BTTS60.9%

Historical average

1.062.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-217.2%
0-112.6%
2-28.0%
1-36.9%
0-25.7%

Comparable corner averages

3.846.44
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=87.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.4%
Over 9.552.9%
Over 10.546.0%
Over 11.534.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals43.8%
3+ goals31.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home43.8%
Away62.5%