Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 14:30
11.4466.4%
X4.7720.0%
27.0513.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Union Berlin
DWWDDWWDDW
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Werder Bremen
LLWLLDDWLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.50
0.70
Conceded
2.70
50%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.70
1.40
2H goals
2.50
60%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
3.50N=10
5.00
Against
5.50
9.90
Total
9.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.50
0.70
Goals conceded
2.70
2.40
Total goals
4.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Union Berlin attack
1.70goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded2.70Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
1.50goals per matchUnion Berlin conceded0.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.50
9.90
Match total
9.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.00
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
14.00N=10
23.60
Match total
24.40
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
8.00N=10
3.70
On target
2.90
14%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches186
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home66.4%73.1%+6.7 pp
Draw20.0%17.2%-2.8 pp
Away13.6%9.7%-3.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.8%
Over 2.560.8%
Over 3.539.2%
BTTS48.4%
Historical average
2.34–0.77
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-015.1%
2-112.9%
1-09.7%
3-18.1%
2-27.5%
Comparable corner averages
6.24–3.35
Average total9.60
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=186.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.6%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.537.6%
Over 11.529.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches52
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT63.5%49.9%–75.2% CI
Draw FT25.0%15.2%–38.2% CI
Away FT11.5%5.4%–23.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.96
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal86.5%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals30.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.8%
Away34.6%