Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 14:30
12.1844.0%
X3.8824.7%
23.0731.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
M'gladbach
WWLDWDDWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Augsburg
DLLLLLDLDL
0W 3D 7L · 0.30 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.70
1.10
Conceded
2.80
50%
Over 2.5
80%
50%
BTTS
90%
By half
1.40
1H goals
2.80
1.50
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.50
Against
4.80
9.50
Total
11.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.70
1.10
Goals conceded
2.80
2.90
Total goals
4.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
M'gladbach attack
1.80goals per matchAugsburg conceded2.80Matchup
Augsburg attack
1.70goals per matchM'gladbach conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
1.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.80
9.50
Match total
11.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.50
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
11.60N=10
23.30
Match total
21.50
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
6.30
On target
3.10
12%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.0%26.1%-17.9 pp
Draw24.7%26.1%+1.4 pp
Away31.3%47.8%+16.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.560.9%
Over 3.534.8%
BTTS60.9%
Historical average
1.35–1.61
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-221.7%
2-28.7%
2-38.7%
0-28.7%
0-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
5.91–4.00
Average total9.91
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.556.5%
Over 9.543.5%
Over 10.539.1%
Over 11.534.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches20
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%21.9%–61.3% CI
Draw FT45.0%25.8%–65.8% CI
Away FT15.0%5.2%–36.0% CI
Remaining goals
0.95
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal60.0%
2+ goals25.0%
3+ goals5.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home45.0%
Away25.0%