Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 14:30
17.9412.0%
X6.1415.6%
21.3272.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

FC Koln
LWDWLLDDLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Bayern Munich
WWDWLWLWLW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.90
1.10
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
5.10N=10
2.90
Against
3.30
10.00
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.90
1.10
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

1.70goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.50
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

1.90goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.20
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
2.90
Corners against
3.30
10.00
Match total
8.40
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.40
Match total
2.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
23.70
Match total
20.70

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
6.00
On target
4.60
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home12.0%16.0%+4.0 pp
Draw15.6%8.0%-7.6 pp
Away72.4%76.0%+3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.0%
Over 2.568.0%
Over 3.560.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

1.042.56

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-312.0%
0-212.0%
1-312.0%
1-28.0%
1-48.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.166.76
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.556.0%
Over 11.544.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT54.5%28.0%–78.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.73

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals54.5%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.5%
Away63.6%