Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-27 · 14:30
11.1583.3%
X9.2310.4%
215.146.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
Mainz
LLDLWDWDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

4.10
Scored
1.20
1.00
Conceded
2.00
100%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.90
1H goals
1.90
2.20
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.60
Against
4.20
10.00
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
4.10
Goals scored
1.20
1.00
Goals conceded
2.00
5.10
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

4.10goals per match
Mainz conceded2.00
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.20goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
2.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.60
Corners against
4.20
10.00
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.00
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
14.40N=10
22.00
Match total
25.40

Shots

16.90N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
7.30
On target
3.40
24%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home83.3%61.5%-21.8 pp
Draw10.4%23.1%+12.7 pp
Away6.3%15.4%+9.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.561.5%
BTTS53.8%

Historical average

3.001.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-023.1%
6-115.4%
2-015.4%
1-17.7%
2-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

8.851.69
Average total10.54

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.2%
Over 9.569.2%
Over 10.561.5%
Over 11.553.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT72.7%43.4%–90.3% CI
Draw FT9.1%1.6%–37.7% CI
Away FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI

Remaining goals

2.91

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals81.8%
3+ goals54.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home90.9%
Away54.5%