Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 18:30
11.4765.2%
X5.0419.0%
26.0615.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
WWWLLWWWWL
7W 0D 3L · 2.10 PPM
M'gladbach
LLWLLLDDLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.00
1.00
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
2.00
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.50N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.10
Against
6.70
8.60
Total
9.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.00
Goals conceded
2.30
3.30
Total goals
3.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.30goals per match
M'gladbach conceded2.30
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

1.00goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.10
Corners against
6.70
8.60
Match total
9.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.90N=10
6.10
Match total
3.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
25.20
Match total
24.60

Shots

13.50N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
6.20
On target
3.30
17%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches56
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.2%67.9%+2.7 pp
Draw19.0%23.2%+4.2 pp
Away15.8%8.9%-6.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.558.9%
Over 3.542.9%
BTTS55.4%

Historical average

2.300.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
3-116.1%
1-010.7%
2-17.1%
4-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

6.273.52
Average total9.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=56.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.558.9%
Over 10.541.1%
Over 11.526.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches24
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.8%27.9%–64.9% CI
Draw FT41.7%24.5%–61.2% CI
Away FT12.5%4.3%–31.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals37.5%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.2%
Away33.3%