Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 16:30
16.7414.2%
X5.5317.3%
21.4068.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Augsburg
LLWWWWDLDW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Dortmund
LLWWWWDLDD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.70
0.90
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.80
1H goals
1.80
1.10
2H goals
1.60
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
6.90N=10
3.60
Against
5.10
7.80
Total
12.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.70
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
1.90
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Augsburg attack
1.00goals per matchDortmund conceded1.70Matchup
Dortmund attack
1.70goals per matchAugsburg conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.90
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
6.90N=10
3.60
Corners against
5.10
7.80
Match total
12.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.80
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.40N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
24.50
Match total
21.80
Shots
11.40N=10
Shots
16.40N=10
3.50
On target
6.80
9%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches14
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.2%14.3%+0.1 pp
Draw17.3%21.4%+4.1 pp
Away68.5%64.3%-4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.564.3%
Over 3.550.0%
BTTS85.7%
Historical average
1.36–2.57
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-121.4%
1-321.4%
0-214.3%
2-57.1%
2-37.1%
Comparable corner averages
3.21–8.29
Average total11.50
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=14.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.585.7%
Over 9.571.4%
Over 10.564.3%
Over 11.557.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Away FT69.2%42.4%–87.3% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals30.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home38.5%
Away69.2%