Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-21 · 14:30
12.5138.3%
X3.6326.5%
22.7335.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
DLWWWWDDWL
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Stuttgart
LDLLLDLWDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
1.10
1.30
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
70%
80%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
2.30
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.10N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.50
Against
4.00
8.60
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.10
1.30
Goals conceded
1.90
3.60
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

2.30goals per match
Stuttgart conceded1.90
Matchup

Stuttgart attack

1.10goals per match
Mainz conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.50
Corners against
4.00
8.60
Match total
8.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.70
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
24.10
Match total
22.60

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
6.20
On target
4.30
17%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches203
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.3%39.4%+1.1 pp
Draw26.5%27.6%+1.1 pp
Away35.2%33.0%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.580.3%
Over 2.556.7%
Over 3.532.0%
BTTS62.1%

Historical average

1.481.36

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-111.8%
2-19.4%
1-29.4%
2-29.4%
1-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.154.79
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=203.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.5%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.528.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches51
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%22.0%–47.0% CI
Draw FT39.2%27.0%–52.9% CI
Away FT27.5%17.1%–40.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals47.1%
3+ goals15.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.8%
Away52.9%