Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-20 · 14:30
12.5338.0%
X3.4727.7%
22.8034.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hoffenheim
LLDLLLWWLW
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Union Berlin
LLWWWLDLWL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.00
2.00
Conceded
1.80
80%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.80
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
3.70N=10
6.30
Against
4.00
12.30
Total
7.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
2.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.50
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hoffenheim attack
1.50goals per matchUnion Berlin conceded1.80Matchup
Union Berlin attack
1.00goals per matchHoffenheim conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
6.30
Corners against
4.00
12.30
Match total
7.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.90
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.70N=10
Committed
12.90N=10
23.60
Match total
23.80
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
8.20N=10
5.10
On target
2.90
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches395
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home38.0%37.5%-0.5 pp
Draw27.7%26.1%-1.6 pp
Away34.3%36.5%+2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.8%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS53.4%
Historical average
1.29–1.22
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.4%
1-211.9%
1-010.9%
0-110.6%
2-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.19–4.64
Average total9.83
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=395.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.529.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches119
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.5%26.5%–43.4% CI
Draw FT34.5%26.5%–43.4% CI
Away FT31.1%23.5%–39.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.45
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal80.7%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals14.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.5%
Away52.9%