Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-14 · 16:30
11.2576.5%
X6.5914.5%
210.708.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

RB Leipzig
WWDWLWWLWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
Werder Bremen
LLLWLLDDWL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.40
1.10
Conceded
2.70
70%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
2.40
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
3.50N=10
3.30
Against
5.80
7.70
Total
9.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded
2.70
2.90
Total goals
4.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

1.80goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded2.70
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.40goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.10
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
3.50N=10
3.30
Corners against
5.80
7.70
Match total
9.30
20%2/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.10N=10
4.30
Match total
3.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
23.20
Match total
23.80

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
8.40N=10
4.70
On target
2.90
15%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches69
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.5%73.9%-2.6 pp
Draw14.5%17.4%+2.9 pp
Away8.9%8.7%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.1%
Over 2.565.2%
Over 3.542.0%
BTTS49.3%

Historical average

2.380.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-010.1%
3-010.1%
4-010.1%
2-010.1%
2-18.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.842.90
Average total9.74

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=69.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.6%
Over 9.547.8%
Over 10.537.7%
Over 11.527.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT58.8%36.0%–78.4% CI
Draw FT29.4%13.3%–53.1% CI
Away FT11.8%3.3%–34.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.4%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals23.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.5%
Away35.3%