Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 17:30
11.2576.8%
X7.0313.7%
210.129.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
M'gladbach
LLLWLLLDDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM

Goals

4.10
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
2.00
100%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

2.80
1H goals
1.00
2.10
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.40
Against
6.30
9.70
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
4.10
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
2.00
4.90
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
100%10/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

4.10goals per match
M'gladbach conceded2.00
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

0.90goals per match
Dortmund conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
2.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
80%8/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.30
9.70
Match total
9.60
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.90
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.50N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
21.30
Match total
24.70

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
7.00
On target
2.80
26%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.8%60.0%-16.8 pp
Draw13.7%30.0%+16.3 pp
Away9.5%10.0%+0.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.560.0%
BTTS50.0%

Historical average

2.800.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

4-020.0%
1-110.0%
0-110.0%
2-010.0%
2-210.0%

Comparable corner averages

8.204.10
Average total12.30

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.590.0%
Over 9.590.0%
Over 10.580.0%
Over 11.560.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.62

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals23.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.5%
Away53.8%