Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 17:30
11.2576.8%
X7.0313.7%
210.129.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Dortmund
WWWWWWWWWW
10W 0D 0L · 3.00 PPM
M'gladbach
LLLWLLLDDL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
4.10
Scored
0.90
0.80
Conceded
2.00
100%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
2.80
1H goals
1.00
2.10
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
3.30N=10
3.40
Against
6.30
9.70
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
4.10
Goals scored
0.90
0.80
Goals conceded
2.00
4.90
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Dortmund attack
4.10goals per matchM'gladbach conceded2.00Matchup
M'gladbach attack
0.90goals per matchDortmund conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
2.40
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.30
9.70
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.90
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.50N=10
Committed
9.80N=10
21.30
Match total
24.70
Shots
15.50N=10
Shots
7.50N=10
7.00
On target
2.80
26%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home76.8%60.0%-16.8 pp
Draw13.7%30.0%+16.3 pp
Away9.5%10.0%+0.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.560.0%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
2.80–0.90
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
4-020.0%
1-110.0%
0-110.0%
2-010.0%
2-210.0%
Comparable corner averages
8.20–4.10
Average total12.30
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.590.0%
Over 9.590.0%
Over 10.580.0%
Over 11.560.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.5%17.7%–64.5% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.62
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals46.2%
3+ goals23.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.5%
Away53.8%