Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 14:30
12.1943.8%
X3.1830.2%
23.6826.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Union Berlin
WDWWDDWWDD
5W 5D 0L · 2.00 PPM
Freiburg
LWLLLWDDWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.00
0.60
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
2.20
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.80
Against
5.70
10.20
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.00
0.60
Goals conceded
2.10
2.10
Total goals
3.10
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.50goals per match
Freiburg conceded2.10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.00goals per match
Union Berlin conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.30
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.70
10.20
Match total
10.00
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.50N=10
3.10
Match total
4.70
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.80N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
22.80
Match total
25.00

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
3.80
On target
3.70
12%
Conversion
10%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches523
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.8%42.3%-1.5 pp
Draw30.2%34.2%+4.1 pp
Away26.1%23.5%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.567.5%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.519.1%
BTTS47.0%

Historical average

1.290.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.1%
0-012.8%
1-012.6%
2-010.7%
0-17.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.254.18
Average total9.43

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=523.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.3%
Over 9.546.8%
Over 10.533.5%
Over 11.525.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches211
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.8%25.8%–38.3% CI
Draw FT47.9%41.2%–54.6% CI
Away FT20.4%15.5%–26.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.14

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal68.2%
2+ goals35.5%
3+ goals7.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home50.7%
Away39.3%