Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 14:30
12.1245.3%
X3.7026.0%
23.3428.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ein Frankfurt
WLWWWWDDDD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Mainz
WLLDLWDWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.40
0.90
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.80
1.60
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
2.90
Against
4.00
9.40
Total
8.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.40
0.90
Goals conceded
1.70
3.10
Total goals
3.10
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Ein Frankfurt attack

2.20goals per match
Mainz conceded1.70
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.40goals per match
Ein Frankfurt conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
2.90
Corners against
4.00
9.40
Match total
8.90
50%5/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.40
Match total
4.30
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.70N=10
Committed
14.50N=10
23.80
Match total
25.40

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.40
On target
3.50
16%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches180
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.3%44.4%-0.9 pp
Draw26.0%30.6%+4.6 pp
Away28.8%25.0%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.550.6%
Over 3.528.9%
BTTS51.7%

Historical average

1.551.09

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.2%
1-011.7%
2-110.0%
0-09.4%
2-26.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.424.53
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=180.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.2%
Over 9.552.8%
Over 10.540.6%
Over 11.535.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches56
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.5%26.0%–50.6% CI
Draw FT44.6%32.4%–57.6% CI
Away FT17.9%10.0%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal69.6%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.8%
Away44.6%