Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-13 · 14:30
11.1285.3%
X10.009.6%
218.745.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bayern Munich
WWDDWWWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Schalke 04
LLLDDWDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
3.20
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
2.40
1H goals
0.70
1.90
2H goals
1.70
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
9.30N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.80
Against
6.30
13.10
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.20
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
1.60
4.30
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bayern Munich attack
3.20goals per matchSchalke 04 conceded1.60Matchup
Schalke 04 attack
0.80goals per matchBayern Munich conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
2.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
9.30N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.80
Corners against
6.30
13.10
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.80N=10
2.10
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.10N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
17.00
Match total
25.20
Shots
21.30N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
9.10
On target
4.30
15%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches22
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home85.3%77.3%-8.1 pp
Draw9.6%13.6%+4.1 pp
Away5.1%9.1%+4.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.595.5%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.540.9%
BTTS40.9%
Historical average
2.91–0.68
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-013.6%
1-113.6%
4-013.6%
3-09.1%
5-09.1%
Comparable corner averages
8.68–3.18
Average total11.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=22.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.586.4%
Over 9.572.7%
Over 10.554.5%
Over 11.554.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT84.6%57.8%–95.7% CI
Draw FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Away FT7.7%1.4%–33.3% CI
Remaining goals
2.77
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals84.6%
3+ goals46.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home100.0%
Away38.5%