Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-12 · 19:30
11.9050.6%
X3.7425.7%
24.0723.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

FC Koln
DLWDWLLDDL
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Hertha
LLLLLLLDLL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
2.80
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.50
1.10
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.00
Against
6.70
9.40
Total
11.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
2.80
2.30
Total goals
3.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

1.30goals per match
Hertha conceded2.80
Matchup

Hertha attack

0.80goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.30
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.00
Corners against
6.70
9.40
Match total
11.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.80
Match total
3.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
23.30
Match total
22.80

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
9.90N=10
4.80
On target
3.40
10%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches359
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.6%49.0%-1.6 pp
Draw25.7%28.7%+3.0 pp
Away23.6%22.3%-1.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.5%
Over 2.551.0%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.631.06

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
1-09.7%
2-19.2%
0-08.9%
2-07.2%

Comparable corner averages

5.894.37
Average total10.26

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=359.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.555.7%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.534.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches109
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.6%29.1%–47.0% CI
Draw FT48.6%39.4%–57.9% CI
Away FT13.8%8.5%–21.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals42.2%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.7%
Away38.5%