Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 17:30
18.1311.8%
X6.1115.7%
21.3272.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Werder Bremen
WWLLWLWLLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Bayern Munich
WWWDWLWLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.90
1.50
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.80
2.00
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

2.70N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.30
Against
3.90
7.00
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.40goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.40
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

1.90goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
80%8/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
80%8/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.70N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.90
7.00
Match total
8.40
30%3/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.00
Match total
3.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
24.80
Match total
20.20

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
4.70
On target
5.20
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.8%20.0%+8.2 pp
Draw15.7%15.0%-0.7 pp
Away72.5%65.0%-7.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.555.0%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

1.002.55

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-315.0%
1-010.0%
1-110.0%
3-25.0%
0-25.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.156.85
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.565.0%
Over 10.565.0%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

2.55

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals81.8%
3+ goals36.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home72.7%
Away72.7%