Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 17:30
18.1311.8%
X6.1115.7%
21.3272.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Werder Bremen
WWLLWLWLLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Bayern Munich
WWWDWLWLWL
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.90
1.50
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.80
2.00
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
2.70N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.30
Against
3.90
7.00
Total
8.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.90
1.50
Goals conceded
1.40
2.90
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
1.40goals per matchBayern Munich conceded1.40Matchup
Bayern Munich attack
1.90goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.50
1.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.70N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.30
Corners against
3.90
7.00
Match total
8.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.70N=10
4.00
Match total
3.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.50N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
24.80
Match total
20.20
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
4.70
On target
5.20
13%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches20
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home11.8%20.0%+8.2 pp
Draw15.7%15.0%-0.7 pp
Away72.5%65.0%-7.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.570.0%
Over 3.555.0%
BTTS55.0%
Historical average
1.00–2.55
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-315.0%
1-010.0%
1-110.0%
3-25.0%
0-25.0%
Comparable corner averages
3.15–6.85
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=20.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.565.0%
Over 10.565.0%
Over 11.540.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.3%9.7%–56.6% CI
Draw FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI
Remaining goals
2.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals81.8%
3+ goals36.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home72.7%
Away72.7%