Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 14:30
11.9050.5%
X3.9424.4%
23.8225.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
M'gladbach
LWWLDWDDWL
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Bochum
LLWLLLLWDD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.70
1.40
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
2.80N=10
4.40
Against
5.90
8.60
Total
8.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded
2.20
3.10
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
M'gladbach attack
1.70goals per matchBochum conceded2.20Matchup
Bochum attack
0.70goals per matchM'gladbach conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.90
8.60
Match total
8.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
1.60N=10
3.70
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.60N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
24.20
Match total
24.40
Shots
13.10N=10
Shots
9.80N=10
5.70
On target
3.00
13%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches124
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.5%44.4%-6.2 pp
Draw24.4%30.6%+6.3 pp
Away25.1%25.0%-0.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.557.3%
Over 3.538.7%
BTTS64.5%
Historical average
1.81–1.30
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.3%
2-08.1%
2-28.1%
1-27.3%
1-07.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.48–4.44
Average total9.92
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=124.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.526.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.6%29.3%–59.0% CI
Draw FT41.0%27.1%–56.6% CI
Away FT15.4%7.2%–29.7% CI
Remaining goals
2.03
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals28.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home76.9%
Away48.7%