Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 14:30
13.9724.2%
X3.6826.1%
21.9349.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
WWDWWDWDLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
RB Leipzig
DWWWDWLLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.90
0.80
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.50
Against
2.70
6.60
Total
7.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.80
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

2.00goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.10
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

1.90goals per match
Freiburg conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
2.70
6.60
Match total
7.80
20%2/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.90
Match total
5.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
24.10
Match total
24.10

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
17.40N=10
5.80
On target
6.80
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches259
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.2%20.1%-4.1 pp
Draw26.1%27.4%+1.3 pp
Away49.7%52.5%+2.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS49.8%

Historical average

0.931.64

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.5%
1-111.2%
1-210.4%
0-29.3%
0-08.9%

Comparable corner averages

4.585.56
Average total10.14

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=259.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches80
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.5%10.7%–27.3% CI
Draw FT38.8%28.8%–49.7% CI
Away FT43.8%33.4%–54.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.23

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals36.3%
3+ goals12.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home30.0%
Away58.8%