Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 14:30
13.9724.2%
X3.6826.1%
21.9349.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Freiburg
WWDWWDWDLW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
RB Leipzig
DWWWDWLLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Goals
2.00
Scored
1.90
0.80
Conceded
1.10
50%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.10N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.50
Against
2.70
6.60
Total
7.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.10
2.80
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Freiburg attack
2.00goals per matchRB Leipzig conceded1.10Matchup
RB Leipzig attack
1.90goals per matchFreiburg conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
1.10
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
2.70
6.60
Match total
7.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.90
Match total
5.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
12.10N=10
24.10
Match total
24.10
Shots
12.50N=10
Shots
17.40N=10
5.80
On target
6.80
16%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches259
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.2%20.1%-4.1 pp
Draw26.1%27.4%+1.3 pp
Away49.7%52.5%+2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.547.9%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS49.8%
Historical average
0.93–1.64
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-113.5%
1-111.2%
1-210.4%
0-29.3%
0-08.9%
Comparable corner averages
4.58–5.56
Average total10.14
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=259.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.7%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.542.5%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches80
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.5%10.7%–27.3% CI
Draw FT38.8%28.8%–49.7% CI
Away FT43.8%33.4%–54.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.23
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals36.3%
3+ goals12.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home30.0%
Away58.8%