Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-06 · 14:30
13.4128.2%
X3.2729.4%
22.2642.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Augsburg
DLLWWWWDLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Union Berlin
LLLWWWLDLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.10
1.20
Conceded
1.90
40%
Over 2.5
70%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
3.70N=10
3.50
Against
4.00
7.70
Total
7.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.20
Goals conceded
1.90
2.40
Total goals
3.00
60%6/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Augsburg attack

1.20goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.90
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.10goals per match
Augsburg conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.90
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.00
7.70
Match total
7.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.20
Match total
4.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
12.50N=10
24.70
Match total
23.80

Shots

11.40N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
3.50
On target
2.80
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches373
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.2%25.2%-3.0 pp
Draw29.4%31.6%+2.3 pp
Away42.5%43.2%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.563.8%
Over 2.538.6%
Over 3.522.0%
BTTS43.4%

Historical average

0.951.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
0-113.1%
0-012.3%
1-010.7%
0-28.3%

Comparable corner averages

4.445.12
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=373.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.550.1%
Over 10.538.6%
Over 11.526.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches126
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.3%12.5%–25.9% CI
Draw FT50.8%42.2%–59.4% CI
Away FT31.0%23.5%–39.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.5%
2+ goals31.7%
3+ goals9.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home35.7%
Away48.4%