Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-05 · 19:30
11.6558.4%
X4.1023.5%
25.3018.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
LDLWWWWDDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Schalke 04
LLLLDDWDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
0.50
1.30
Conceded
1.80
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.30
1H goals
0.80
2.10
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
4.80N=10
4.30
Against
5.90
8.60
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
0.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.80
3.40
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

2.10goals per match
Schalke 04 conceded1.80
Matchup

Schalke 04 attack

0.50goals per match
Mainz conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.10
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.40
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.90
8.60
Match total
10.70
40%4/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
4.30
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
24.00
Match total
25.60

Shots

14.30N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
6.10
On target
3.40
15%
Conversion
4%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches154
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home58.4%59.7%+1.4 pp
Draw23.5%18.8%-4.7 pp
Away18.2%21.4%+3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.9%
Over 2.556.5%
Over 3.530.5%
BTTS55.2%

Historical average

1.920.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.0%
1-111.7%
1-011.0%
2-09.1%
3-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.453.98
Average total10.44

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=154.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.5%
Over 9.556.5%
Over 10.546.1%
Over 11.537.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches41
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT56.1%41.0%–70.1% CI
Draw FT29.3%17.6%–44.5% CI
Away FT14.6%6.9%–28.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.2%
2+ goals48.8%
3+ goals19.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home78.0%
Away46.3%