Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-05 · 19:30
11.6956.9%
X4.0423.8%
24.9719.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leverkusen
DWWWLLWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
FC Koln
LLLDDLDLWW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.20
Against
5.30
8.10
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
2.10
3.40
Total goals
2.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leverkusen attack
2.40goals per matchFC Koln conceded2.10Matchup
FC Koln attack
0.80goals per matchLeverkusen conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.30
8.10
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.80
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
25.50
Match total
21.30
Shots
13.40N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
6.30
On target
3.20
18%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches249
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.9%59.0%+2.2 pp
Draw23.8%20.9%-2.9 pp
Away19.3%20.1%+0.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.531.7%
BTTS55.0%
Historical average
1.86–1.04
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.7%
1-011.2%
2-08.0%
1-17.2%
3-06.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.04–3.98
Average total10.02
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=249.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.531.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.6%34.3%–57.3% CI
Draw FT30.9%21.2%–42.6% CI
Away FT23.5%15.0%–34.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.49
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.9%
2+ goals42.6%
3+ goals22.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.8%
Away44.1%