Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-05-05 · 19:30
11.6956.9%
X4.0423.8%
24.9719.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
DWWWLLWWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
FC Koln
LLLDDLDLWW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
2.10
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.50N=10
4.20
Against
5.30
8.10
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
2.10
3.40
Total goals
2.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.40goals per match
FC Koln conceded2.10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

0.80goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.30
8.10
Match total
9.80
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
5.80
Match total
3.80
90%9/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
25.50
Match total
21.30

Shots

13.40N=10
Shots
9.00N=10
6.30
On target
3.20
18%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches249
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.9%59.0%+2.2 pp
Draw23.8%20.9%-2.9 pp
Away19.3%20.1%+0.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.3%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.531.7%
BTTS55.0%

Historical average

1.861.04

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.7%
1-011.2%
2-08.0%
1-17.2%
3-06.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.043.98
Average total10.02

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=249.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.5%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.531.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches68
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT45.6%34.3%–57.3% CI
Draw FT30.9%21.2%–42.6% CI
Away FT23.5%15.0%–34.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.9%
2+ goals42.6%
3+ goals22.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.8%
Away44.1%