Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 16:30
12.3041.7%
X3.5327.2%
23.0831.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Wolfsburg
DWWWLLDDDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Mainz
LWLLDLWDWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.50
1.40
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.40
Against
4.20
9.60
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.40
Goals conceded
1.60
3.50
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Wolfsburg attack

2.10goals per match
Mainz conceded1.60
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.50goals per match
Wolfsburg conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.70
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.40
Corners against
4.20
9.60
Match total
9.10
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.80
Match total
4.50
70%7/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
15.00N=10
24.60
Match total
26.20

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
11.50N=10
5.90
On target
4.00
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches490
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.7%42.0%+0.3 pp
Draw27.2%28.6%+1.4 pp
Away31.1%29.4%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.552.7%
Over 3.529.8%
BTTS56.9%

Historical average

1.521.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.4%
2-19.6%
2-09.0%
1-28.6%
1-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.654.52
Average total10.17

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=489.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.556.2%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches137
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.2%29.6%–45.6% CI
Draw FT37.2%29.6%–45.6% CI
Away FT25.5%19.0%–33.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.6%
2+ goals45.3%
3+ goals19.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home59.1%
Away46.0%