Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 14:30
11.1285.7%
X10.099.5%
220.094.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Bayern Munich
WWWDDWWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Hertha
LLLLLLLLDL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM
Goals
3.50
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.90
70%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
80%
By half
2.60
1H goals
1.80
2.00
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
8.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.20
Against
5.70
12.20
Total
10.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
3.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.90
4.60
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Bayern Munich attack
3.50goals per matchHertha conceded2.90Matchup
Hertha attack
1.00goals per matchBayern Munich conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
2.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.70
12.20
Match total
10.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.10
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.40N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
17.40
Match total
24.10
Shots
20.60N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
9.00
On target
3.80
17%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home85.7%89.7%+4.0 pp
Draw9.5%7.7%-1.8 pp
Away4.8%2.6%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.582.1%
Over 3.553.8%
BTTS43.6%
Historical average
3.28–0.67
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-115.4%
3-012.8%
2-012.8%
4-012.8%
5-010.3%
Comparable corner averages
8.41–2.77
Average total11.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.579.5%
Over 9.571.8%
Over 10.553.8%
Over 11.546.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT88.2%65.7%–96.7% CI
Draw FT5.9%1.0%–27.0% CI
Away FT5.9%1.0%–27.0% CI
Remaining goals
2.65
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals82.4%
3+ goals47.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home100.0%
Away35.3%