Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-30 · 14:30
11.1285.7%
X10.099.5%
220.094.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bayern Munich
WWWDDWWWWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Hertha
LLLLLLLLDL
0W 1D 9L · 0.10 PPM

Goals

3.50
Scored
1.00
1.10
Conceded
2.90
70%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
80%

By half

2.60
1H goals
1.80
2.00
2H goals
2.10
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

8.00N=10
For
4.60N=10
4.20
Against
5.70
12.20
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.50
Goals scored
1.00
1.10
Goals conceded
2.90
4.60
Total goals
3.90
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

3.50goals per match
Hertha conceded2.90
Matchup

Hertha attack

1.00goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
2.20
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
90%9/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.00N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
4.20
Corners against
5.70
12.20
Match total
10.30
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.10
Match total
3.60
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

8.40N=10
Committed
12.80N=10
17.40
Match total
24.10

Shots

20.60N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
9.00
On target
3.80
17%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches39
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home85.7%89.7%+4.0 pp
Draw9.5%7.7%-1.8 pp
Away4.8%2.6%-2.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.5100.0%
Over 2.582.1%
Over 3.553.8%
BTTS43.6%

Historical average

3.280.67

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-115.4%
3-012.8%
2-012.8%
4-012.8%
5-010.3%

Comparable corner averages

8.412.77
Average total11.18

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=39.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.579.5%
Over 9.571.8%
Over 10.553.8%
Over 11.546.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT88.2%65.7%–96.7% CI
Draw FT5.9%1.0%–27.0% CI
Away FT5.9%1.0%–27.0% CI

Remaining goals

2.65

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals82.4%
3+ goals47.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home100.0%
Away35.3%