Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 14:30
12.9133.0%
X3.3728.5%
22.5038.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Union Berlin
WWDWWDDWWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM
Leverkusen
LLWWLWDWWD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.60
0.60
Conceded
1.50
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.30
2H goals
2.20
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.20
Against
3.70
10.50
Total
7.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.60
0.60
Goals conceded
1.50
2.30
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.70goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.50
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

1.60goals per match
Union Berlin conceded0.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.10
2H goals scored
1.20
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.00
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.20
Corners against
3.70
10.50
Match total
7.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
20%2/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.20
Match total
4.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.40N=10
Committed
10.90N=10
23.10
Match total
23.40

Shots

13.20N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
4.20
On target
4.30
13%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches410
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.0%29.5%-3.5 pp
Draw28.5%26.1%-2.4 pp
Away38.4%44.4%+5.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.0%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.524.1%
BTTS51.5%

Historical average

1.151.38

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-113.9%
1-112.7%
2-18.5%
1-28.0%
0-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.034.92
Average total9.96

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=410.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.9%
Over 9.552.7%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches123
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT23.6%16.9%–31.8% CI
Draw FT32.5%24.9%–41.2% CI
Away FT43.9%35.4%–52.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.37

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.2%
2+ goals38.2%
3+ goals15.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home38.2%
Away61.0%