Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 14:30
12.4439.3%
X3.3129.0%
23.0231.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

FC Koln
WDLWDWLLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Freiburg
DLWLLLWDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
2.70
Against
5.20
8.70
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.70
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

1.60goals per match
Freiburg conceded2.30
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.10goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.60
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.20
8.70
Match total
9.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.20
Match total
4.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

11.20N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.70
Match total
25.50

Shots

12.10N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.60
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches671
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.3%38.6%-0.7 pp
Draw29.0%32.2%+3.2 pp
Away31.7%29.2%-2.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS49.2%

Historical average

1.271.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.9%
1-011.8%
0-09.8%
0-19.4%
2-18.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.234.62
Average total9.85

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=671.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.529.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches229
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.6%21.3%–32.7% CI
Draw FT44.5%38.2%–51.0% CI
Away FT28.8%23.3%–35.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals37.6%
3+ goals13.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.5%
Away48.9%