Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-29 · 14:30
12.4439.3%
X3.3129.0%
23.0231.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
FC Koln
WDLWDWLLDD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Freiburg
DLWLLLWDDW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
2.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.10
1.40
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
2.70
Against
5.20
8.70
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
2.70
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
FC Koln attack
1.60goals per matchFreiburg conceded2.30Matchup
Freiburg attack
1.10goals per matchFC Koln conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
2.70
Corners against
5.20
8.70
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.20
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.70
Match total
25.50
Shots
12.10N=10
Shots
9.40N=10
4.60
On target
3.50
13%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches671
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home39.3%38.6%-0.7 pp
Draw29.0%32.2%+3.2 pp
Away31.7%29.2%-2.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.0%
Over 2.540.4%
Over 3.522.7%
BTTS49.2%
Historical average
1.27–1.11
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.9%
1-011.8%
0-09.8%
0-19.4%
2-18.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.23–4.62
Average total9.85
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=671.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.0%
Over 9.553.2%
Over 10.540.4%
Over 11.529.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches229
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT26.6%21.3%–32.7% CI
Draw FT44.5%38.2%–51.0% CI
Away FT28.8%23.3%–35.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.2%
2+ goals37.6%
3+ goals13.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.5%
Away48.9%