Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-28 · 19:30
16.4215.0%
X5.1418.7%
21.4566.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bochum
WWWWWLLWLL
6W 0D 4L · 1.80 PPM
Dortmund
WLLWWWWDLD
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.80
1.70
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.80
2.20
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.90
Against
5.10
10.20
Total
11.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.80
1.70
Goals conceded
1.70
3.60
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Bochum attack

1.90goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.70
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.80goals per match
Bochum conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
1.10
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.10
10.20
Match total
11.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.90N=10
4.40
Match total
4.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.80N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
23.50
Match total
22.20

Shots

12.20N=10
Shots
15.10N=10
5.20
On target
6.40
16%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches26
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home15.0%7.7%-7.3 pp
Draw18.7%23.1%+4.4 pp
Away66.3%69.2%+2.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.588.5%
Over 2.561.5%
Over 3.538.5%
BTTS57.7%

Historical average

0.852.31

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.4%
1-211.5%
0-211.5%
0-311.5%
1-311.5%

Comparable corner averages

3.925.42
Average total9.35

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=26.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.5%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.530.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT11.1%3.1%–32.8% CI
Draw FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Away FT66.7%43.7%–83.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.83

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals27.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home44.4%
Away77.8%