Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 18:30
12.3940.1%
X3.3328.8%
23.0931.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

M'gladbach
WLWWLDWDDW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Union Berlin
WLLLWWWLDL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.10
1.50
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.30
1.80
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.60
Against
4.00
9.30
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded
1.90
3.70
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

M'gladbach attack

2.20goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.90
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.10goals per match
M'gladbach conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.20
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.30
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.00
9.30
Match total
8.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.70
Match total
4.10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
24.20
Match total
23.80

Shots

13.60N=10
Shots
6.90N=10
5.90
On target
2.80
16%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches839
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.1%39.8%-0.3 pp
Draw28.8%29.3%+0.5 pp
Away31.0%30.9%-0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.542.1%
Over 3.522.9%
BTTS48.7%

Historical average

1.281.13

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.2%
1-011.2%
0-19.7%
2-19.1%
0-09.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.254.56
Average total9.81

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=839.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.1%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.538.4%
Over 11.528.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches285
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT29.5%24.5%–35.0% CI
Draw FT40.0%34.5%–45.8% CI
Away FT30.5%25.5%–36.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.3%
2+ goals38.9%
3+ goals14.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.8%
Away49.5%