Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 16:30
12.5437.7%
X3.6326.4%
22.6735.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
WDWWWLLWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
RB Leipzig
DDWWWDWLLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.60
Scored
2.00
1.00
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.20
2.10
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.60
Against
3.10
7.80
Total
7.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
3.60
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.60goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded1.00
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

2.00goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.60
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.10
7.80
Match total
7.50
30%3/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
10%1/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.20
Match total
4.90
80%8/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.20N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
26.20
Match total
24.60

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
16.00N=10
6.40
On target
6.30
19%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches213
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.7%37.6%-0.2 pp
Draw26.4%29.6%+3.2 pp
Away35.9%32.9%-3.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.530.5%
BTTS58.2%

Historical average

1.381.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
1-09.4%
2-28.9%
2-18.5%
0-18.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.284.78
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=213.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.1%26.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT33.9%23.3%–46.3% CI
Away FT29.0%19.2%–41.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal82.3%
2+ goals40.3%
3+ goals16.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.1%
Away48.4%