Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 16:30
12.5437.7%
X3.6326.4%
22.6735.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leverkusen
WDWWWLLWWW
7W 1D 2L · 2.20 PPM
RB Leipzig
DDWWWDWLLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
2.60
Scored
2.00
1.00
Conceded
1.00
70%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.20
2.10
2H goals
1.80
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.60
Against
3.10
7.80
Total
7.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.60
Goals scored
2.00
1.00
Goals conceded
1.00
3.60
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leverkusen attack
2.60goals per matchRB Leipzig conceded1.00Matchup
RB Leipzig attack
2.00goals per matchLeverkusen conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.80
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.60
2H goals scored
1.20
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.10
7.80
Match total
7.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.20
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.20N=10
Committed
12.40N=10
26.20
Match total
24.60
Shots
13.90N=10
Shots
16.00N=10
6.40
On target
6.30
19%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches213
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.7%37.6%-0.2 pp
Draw26.4%29.6%+3.2 pp
Away35.9%32.9%-3.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.530.5%
BTTS58.2%
Historical average
1.38–1.32
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
1-09.4%
2-28.9%
2-18.5%
0-18.0%
Comparable corner averages
5.28–4.78
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=213.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.551.2%
Over 10.539.9%
Over 11.530.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT37.1%26.2%–49.5% CI
Draw FT33.9%23.3%–46.3% CI
Away FT29.0%19.2%–41.3% CI
Remaining goals
1.44
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.3%
2+ goals40.3%
3+ goals16.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.1%
Away48.4%