Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 14:30
11.8053.3%
X3.6826.1%
24.6720.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
WWWDWWDWDL
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Schalke 04
LLLLLDDWDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
0.50
0.80
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.60
1.50
2H goals
1.40
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.10N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.20
Against
6.40
6.30
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.50
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.60
Total goals
2.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
70%7/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.80goals per match
Schalke 04 conceded1.50
Matchup

Schalke 04 attack

0.50goals per match
Freiburg conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.10
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
60%6/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.10N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.20
Corners against
6.40
6.30
Match total
10.90
10%1/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
4.00
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.00N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
24.80
Match total
26.30

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
10.70N=10
5.30
On target
3.00
14%
Conversion
5%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches371
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home53.3%58.2%+4.9 pp
Draw26.1%22.9%-3.2 pp
Away20.6%18.9%-1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.0%
Over 2.548.2%
Over 3.524.5%
BTTS48.0%

Historical average

1.680.84

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.7%
1-013.5%
1-111.3%
2-010.2%
0-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.064.14
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=371.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.6%
Over 9.554.7%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.534.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches117
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%35.8%–53.5% CI
Draw FT37.6%29.4%–46.6% CI
Away FT17.9%12.0%–25.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.44

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals16.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.7%
Away41.9%