Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 14:30
15.3118.0%
X4.5721.0%
21.5761.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
WLDLWWWWDD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Bayern Munich
DWWWDWLWLW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM

Goals

2.30
Scored
2.00
1.20
Conceded
1.30
70%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.80
2.00
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.00
Against
4.40
8.60
Total
8.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.50
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

2.30goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.30
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

2.00goals per match
Mainz conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
1.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
80%8/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.40
8.60
Match total
8.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.80
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
24.70
Match total
20.10

Shots

14.50N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
6.40
On target
5.30
16%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home18.0%14.0%-4.1 pp
Draw21.0%30.2%+9.3 pp
Away61.0%55.8%-5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.574.4%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.520.9%
BTTS41.9%

Historical average

0.811.77

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-114.0%
1-111.6%
0-011.6%
0-311.6%
0-29.3%

Comparable corner averages

3.535.88
Average total9.42

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.553.5%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.525.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches17
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT17.6%6.2%–41.0% CI
Draw FT47.1%26.2%–69.0% CI
Away FT35.3%17.3%–58.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.41

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal70.6%
2+ goals52.9%
3+ goals17.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.2%
Away58.8%