Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 14:30
12.2243.3%
X3.5826.8%
23.2129.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hoffenheim
LLLLDLLLWW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
FC Koln
LLLLDDLDLW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.70
2.00
Conceded
2.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.50
Against
5.80
12.20
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
2.00
Goals conceded
2.50
3.20
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hoffenheim attack
1.20goals per matchFC Koln conceded2.50Matchup
FC Koln attack
0.70goals per matchHoffenheim conceded2.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.80
12.20
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.10
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.30N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
23.30
Match total
21.30
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
5.10
On target
2.80
9%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches420
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%44.0%+0.8 pp
Draw26.8%31.7%+4.8 pp
Away29.9%24.3%-5.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS54.3%
Historical average
1.52–1.10
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.5%
2-010.0%
1-09.3%
2-18.6%
0-08.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.54–4.38
Average total9.92
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=419.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.529.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches121
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.0%29.9%–46.9% CI
Draw FT43.8%35.3%–52.7% CI
Away FT18.2%12.3%–26.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.31
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals13.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.4%
Away38.8%