Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 14:30
12.2243.3%
X3.5826.8%
23.2129.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
LLLLDLLLWW
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM
FC Koln
LLLLDDLDLW
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.70
2.00
Conceded
2.50
70%
Over 2.5
50%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.70
1.60
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
5.50
Against
5.80
12.20
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.70
2.00
Goals conceded
2.50
3.20
Total goals
3.20
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.20goals per match
FC Koln conceded2.50
Matchup

FC Koln attack

0.70goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.50
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.20
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
5.50
Corners against
5.80
12.20
Match total
10.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.10
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
11.70N=10
23.30
Match total
21.30

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
8.10N=10
5.10
On target
2.80
9%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches420
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.3%44.0%+0.8 pp
Draw26.8%31.7%+4.8 pp
Away29.9%24.3%-5.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.547.4%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS54.3%

Historical average

1.521.10

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
2-010.0%
1-09.3%
2-18.6%
0-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.544.38
Average total9.92

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=419.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.9%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.540.3%
Over 11.529.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches121
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.0%29.9%–46.9% CI
Draw FT43.8%35.3%–52.7% CI
Away FT18.2%12.3%–26.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.31

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.1%
2+ goals42.1%
3+ goals13.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.4%
Away38.8%