Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 14:30
12.3041.7%
X3.5027.4%
23.1030.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hertha
DWLWLLWWDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Werder Bremen
DWLLLWLLDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
2.50
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.00
Against
5.10
9.60
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
2.50
3.10
Total goals
3.70
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Hertha attack

1.50goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded2.50
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.20goals per match
Hertha conceded1.60
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.10
9.60
Match total
8.80
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.40
Match total
3.60
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.80N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
26.80
Match total
23.80

Shots

11.20N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.00
On target
3.40
13%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches555
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.7%42.0%+0.3 pp
Draw27.4%29.0%+1.6 pp
Away30.9%29.0%-1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS52.1%

Historical average

1.461.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.6%
1-010.3%
0-09.2%
2-18.3%
1-28.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.804.38
Average total10.19

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=554.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.557.2%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.531.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches180
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.0%28.4%–42.2% CI
Draw FT42.8%35.8%–50.1% CI
Away FT22.2%16.8%–28.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals39.4%
3+ goals15.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home55.0%
Away40.6%