Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-22 · 14:30
12.3041.7%
X3.5027.4%
23.1030.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Hertha
DWLWLLWWDL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Werder Bremen
DWLLLWLLDD
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.20
1.60
Conceded
2.50
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.60
1.50
2H goals
2.10
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
3.70N=10
5.00
Against
5.10
9.60
Total
8.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.60
Goals conceded
2.50
3.10
Total goals
3.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Hertha attack
1.50goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded2.50Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
1.20goals per matchHertha conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.10
9.60
Match total
8.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.40
Match total
3.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.80N=10
Committed
13.50N=10
26.80
Match total
23.80
Shots
11.20N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
4.00
On target
3.40
13%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches555
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.7%42.0%+0.3 pp
Draw27.4%29.0%+1.6 pp
Away30.9%29.0%-1.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS52.1%
Historical average
1.46–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.6%
1-010.3%
0-09.2%
2-18.3%
1-28.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.80–4.38
Average total10.19
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=554.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.7%
Over 9.557.2%
Over 10.543.9%
Over 11.531.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches180
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT35.0%28.4%–42.2% CI
Draw FT42.8%35.8%–50.1% CI
Away FT22.2%16.8%–28.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal71.7%
2+ goals39.4%
3+ goals15.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home55.0%
Away40.6%