Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 14:30
12.7035.5%
X3.5227.3%
22.5837.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Werder Bremen
LWWLLWLWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Freiburg
DDLWLLLWDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

2.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.40
Against
5.20
6.90
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
2.20
2.80
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.30goals per match
Freiburg conceded2.20
Matchup

Freiburg attack

0.90goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded1.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.50
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
2.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.20
6.90
Match total
9.20
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.80
Match total
4.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.70
Match total
25.40

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.60
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches384
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.5%35.7%+0.1 pp
Draw27.3%25.5%-1.7 pp
Away37.2%38.8%+1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS54.2%

Historical average

1.301.35

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.0%
0-110.9%
1-08.6%
2-18.3%
1-27.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.154.94
Average total10.09

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=384.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches115
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.0%25.1%–42.1% CI
Draw FT30.4%22.8%–39.4% CI
Away FT36.5%28.3%–45.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.43

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.4%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home48.7%
Away52.2%