Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 14:30
12.7035.5%
X3.5227.3%
22.5837.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Werder Bremen
LWWLLWLWLL
4W 0D 6L · 1.20 PPM
Freiburg
DDLWLLLWDD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.90
1.50
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.80
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
2.50N=10
For
4.00N=10
4.40
Against
5.20
6.90
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.90
1.50
Goals conceded
2.20
2.80
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
1.30goals per matchFreiburg conceded2.20Matchup
Freiburg attack
0.90goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.50N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.20
6.90
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.80
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.50N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.70
Match total
25.40
Shots
11.30N=10
Shots
10.20N=10
4.60
On target
3.60
12%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches384
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.5%35.7%+0.1 pp
Draw27.3%25.5%-1.7 pp
Away37.2%38.8%+1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.7%
Over 2.548.4%
Over 3.527.1%
BTTS54.2%
Historical average
1.30–1.35
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.0%
0-110.9%
1-08.6%
2-18.3%
1-27.6%
Comparable corner averages
5.15–4.94
Average total10.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=384.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.0%
Over 9.553.9%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.531.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches115
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.0%25.1%–42.1% CI
Draw FT30.4%22.8%–39.4% CI
Away FT36.5%28.3%–45.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.43
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.4%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals17.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home48.7%
Away52.2%