Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 14:30
13.5227.2%
X3.8325.0%
22.0147.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Stuttgart
LLWWWDLWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Dortmund
LWLLWWWWDL
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.50
1.30
Conceded
1.60
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.50
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.00N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.90
Against
5.10
9.90
Total
11.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.50
1.30
Goals conceded
1.60
2.70
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Stuttgart attack
1.40goals per matchDortmund conceded1.60Matchup
Dortmund attack
1.50goals per matchStuttgart conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.90
Corners against
5.10
9.90
Match total
11.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.80
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
9.60N=10
22.30
Match total
22.10
Shots
16.00N=10
Shots
14.90N=10
4.90
On target
6.40
9%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches110
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.2%30.0%+2.8 pp
Draw25.0%20.9%-4.1 pp
Away47.7%49.1%+1.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.6%
Over 2.561.8%
Over 3.532.7%
BTTS62.7%
Historical average
1.26–1.71
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
1-210.9%
1-08.2%
2-18.2%
0-37.3%
Comparable corner averages
4.32–5.35
Average total9.66
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=110.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.3%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.533.6%
Over 11.525.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches29
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.6%14.7%–45.7% CI
Draw FT34.5%19.9%–52.7% CI
Away FT37.9%22.7%–56.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.79
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal89.7%
2+ goals58.6%
3+ goals24.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.0%
Away69.0%