Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 14:30
12.6336.5%
X3.3728.5%
22.7435.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
FC Koln
WWDLWDWLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Mainz
LLWLLDLWDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.50
Against
4.60
9.90
Total
9.70
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.90
3.00
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
FC Koln attack
1.80goals per matchMainz conceded1.90Matchup
Mainz attack
1.50goals per matchFC Koln conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.60
9.90
Match total
9.70
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.40
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.60N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
23.60
Match total
25.90
Shots
12.90N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.80
On target
4.10
14%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches626
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.5%35.8%-0.7 pp
Draw28.5%28.6%+0.1 pp
Away35.0%35.6%+0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS53.4%
Historical average
1.24–1.24
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.2%
1-29.9%
1-09.7%
0-19.7%
2-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.14–4.62
Average total9.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=626.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.527.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches198
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.3%25.3%–38.1% CI
Draw FT39.9%33.3%–46.8% CI
Away FT28.8%22.9%–35.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.8%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals14.1%
Who scores in 2H
Home53.5%
Away51.5%