Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 14:30
12.6336.5%
X3.3728.5%
22.7435.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

FC Koln
WWDLWDWLLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Mainz
LLWLLDLWDW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.50
1.20
Conceded
1.90
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.40N=10
For
5.10N=10
3.50
Against
4.60
9.90
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded
1.90
3.00
Total goals
3.40
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

1.80goals per match
Mainz conceded1.90
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.50goals per match
FC Koln conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.00
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
3.50
Corners against
4.60
9.90
Match total
9.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.00N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.40
Match total
4.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.60N=10
Committed
14.80N=10
23.60
Match total
25.90

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
12.00N=10
5.80
On target
4.10
14%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches626
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.5%35.8%-0.7 pp
Draw28.5%28.6%+0.1 pp
Away35.0%35.6%+0.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.2%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.521.6%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

1.241.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.2%
1-29.9%
1-09.7%
0-19.7%
2-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.144.62
Average total9.76

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=626.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.5%
Over 9.550.5%
Over 10.538.7%
Over 11.527.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches198
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.3%25.3%–38.1% CI
Draw FT39.9%33.3%–46.8% CI
Away FT28.8%22.9%–35.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.40

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.8%
2+ goals41.9%
3+ goals14.1%

Who scores in 2H

Home53.5%
Away51.5%