Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-15 · 14:30
11.2179.3%
X7.7212.4%
211.578.3%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bayern Munich
WWWWDDWWWW
8W 2D 0L · 2.60 PPM
Hoffenheim
DWDLLLLLLW
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

3.80
Scored
1.30
1.00
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

2.80
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

7.30N=10
For
4.20N=10
4.00
Against
5.00
11.30
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.00
Goals conceded
1.90
4.80
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

3.80goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded1.90
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.30goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
2.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
90%9/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.00
11.30
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
100%10/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.90N=10
For
2.80N=10
1.80
Match total
4.60
10%1/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
17.30
Match total
26.10

Shots

20.40N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
9.30
On target
3.60
19%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches12
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home79.3%66.7%-12.6 pp
Draw12.4%25.0%+12.6 pp
Away8.3%8.3%+0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.591.7%
Over 2.575.0%
Over 3.558.3%
BTTS66.7%

Historical average

2.921.00

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
2-116.7%
5-016.7%
0-18.3%
4-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.834.00
Average total11.83

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=12.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.583.3%
Over 9.575.0%
Over 10.566.7%
Over 11.558.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Draw FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI
Away FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.69

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal87.5%
2+ goals56.3%
3+ goals18.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home75.0%
Away43.8%