Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-14 · 19:30
12.3640.7%
X3.3029.1%
23.1830.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Schalke 04
LLWLLDDWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Hertha
DLLLLLLLLD
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM
Goals
0.60
Scored
0.90
1.90
Conceded
2.50
50%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
6.00
Against
5.40
10.60
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.90
1.90
Goals conceded
2.50
2.50
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Schalke 04 attack
0.60goals per matchHertha conceded2.50Matchup
Hertha attack
0.90goals per matchSchalke 04 conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
6.00
Corners against
5.40
10.60
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.20N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
26.10
Match total
23.20
Shots
11.90N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.30
On target
3.50
5%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches895
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.7%41.2%+0.5 pp
Draw29.1%30.6%+1.5 pp
Away30.2%28.2%-2.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS49.4%
Historical average
1.28–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.5%
1-012.8%
2-19.5%
0-09.2%
0-19.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.17–4.40
Average total9.57
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=894.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.526.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches298
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.9%26.8%–37.4% CI
Draw FT41.6%36.2%–47.3% CI
Away FT26.5%21.8%–31.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.26
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals35.9%
3+ goals12.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.3%
Away45.6%