Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-14 · 19:30
12.3640.7%
X3.3029.1%
23.1830.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Schalke 04
LLWLLDDWDL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Hertha
DLLLLLLLLD
0W 2D 8L · 0.20 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
0.90
1.90
Conceded
2.50
50%
Over 2.5
70%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
4.10N=10
6.00
Against
5.40
10.60
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
0.90
1.90
Goals conceded
2.50
2.50
Total goals
3.40
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Schalke 04 attack

0.60goals per match
Hertha conceded2.50
Matchup

Hertha attack

0.90goals per match
Schalke 04 conceded1.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
0.90
1H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
20%2/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
6.00
Corners against
5.40
10.60
Match total
9.50
80%8/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
3.60
Match total
3.90
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
11.90N=10
26.10
Match total
23.20

Shots

11.90N=10
Shots
10.60N=10
3.30
On target
3.50
5%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches895
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.7%41.2%+0.5 pp
Draw29.1%30.6%+1.5 pp
Away30.2%28.2%-2.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.568.9%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.521.3%
BTTS49.4%

Historical average

1.281.05

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.5%
1-012.8%
2-19.5%
0-09.2%
0-19.1%

Comparable corner averages

5.174.40
Average total9.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=894.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.8%
Over 9.548.8%
Over 10.535.8%
Over 11.526.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches298
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT31.9%26.8%–37.4% CI
Draw FT41.6%36.2%–47.3% CI
Away FT26.5%21.8%–31.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.26

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals35.9%
3+ goals12.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home51.3%
Away45.6%