Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 14:30
11.7355.4%
X4.0123.9%
24.6520.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
DWLDLWWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Werder Bremen
WDWLLLWLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.60
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.00
Against
5.70
8.90
Total
9.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
3.30
Total goals
3.50
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

2.20goals per match
Werder Bremen conceded2.30
Matchup

Werder Bremen attack

1.20goals per match
Mainz conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.70
8.90
Match total
9.50
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.40
Match total
3.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

14.30N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.80
Match total
23.00

Shots

13.80N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.70
On target
3.60
16%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches245
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.4%60.8%+5.4 pp
Draw23.9%19.6%-4.3 pp
Away20.6%19.6%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.535.1%
BTTS57.1%

Historical average

1.981.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.2%
2-010.6%
1-09.8%
1-17.8%
3-17.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.163.95
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=245.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.530.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%37.9%–62.1% CI
Draw FT30.6%20.6%–43.0% CI
Away FT19.4%11.4%–30.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.89

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.5%
2+ goals62.9%
3+ goals30.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home74.2%
Away48.4%