Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 14:30
11.7355.4%
X4.0123.9%
24.6520.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mainz
DWLDLWWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Werder Bremen
WDWLLLWLLD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
2.20
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.60
1.70
2H goals
1.90
90%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.90N=10
For
3.80N=10
4.00
Against
5.70
8.90
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
3.30
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mainz attack
2.20goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded2.30Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
1.20goals per matchMainz conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
4.00
Corners against
5.70
8.90
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.40
Match total
3.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.30N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.80
Match total
23.00
Shots
13.80N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.70
On target
3.60
16%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches245
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.4%60.8%+5.4 pp
Draw23.9%19.6%-4.3 pp
Away20.6%19.6%-1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.584.9%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.535.1%
BTTS57.1%
Historical average
1.98–1.07
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.2%
2-010.6%
1-09.8%
1-17.8%
3-17.8%
Comparable corner averages
6.16–3.95
Average total10.11
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=245.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.569.4%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.530.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches62
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%37.9%–62.1% CI
Draw FT30.6%20.6%–43.0% CI
Away FT19.4%11.4%–30.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.89
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.5%
2+ goals62.9%
3+ goals30.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home74.2%
Away48.4%