Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 14:30
16.4314.9%
X4.9119.5%
21.4665.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
WWWWDWWDWD
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Bayern Munich
LDWWWDWLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
1.90
0.80
Conceded
1.40
50%
Over 2.5
60%
80%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.80
1.50
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

3.40N=10
For
4.40N=10
3.10
Against
4.40
6.50
Total
8.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
1.90
0.80
Goals conceded
1.40
2.80
Total goals
3.30
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

2.00goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.40
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

1.90goals per match
Freiburg conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
80%8/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.40N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
3.10
Corners against
4.40
6.50
Match total
8.80
20%2/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
30%3/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.20N=10
4.20
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.90N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
24.80
Match total
20.20

Shots

12.80N=10
Shots
14.20N=10
5.70
On target
5.20
16%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches59
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home14.9%16.9%+2.1 pp
Draw19.5%6.8%-12.7 pp
Away65.6%76.3%+10.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.7%
Over 2.562.7%
Over 3.533.9%
BTTS39.0%

Historical average

0.782.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-316.9%
0-113.6%
0-213.6%
1-310.2%
1-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

3.535.93
Average total9.46

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=59.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.527.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI
Draw FT8.3%1.5%–35.4% CI
Away FT75.0%46.8%–91.1% CI

Remaining goals

2.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals58.3%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home41.7%
Away83.3%