Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 14:30
11.6059.9%
X4.1123.3%
25.7316.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
WWDWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Union Berlin
LWLLLWWWLD
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

3.30
Scored
1.00
0.90
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.30
1H goals
1.40
1.90
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
4.70N=10
4.00
Against
3.60
10.30
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.30
Goals scored
1.00
0.90
Goals conceded
1.90
4.20
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

3.30goals per match
Union Berlin conceded1.90
Matchup

Union Berlin attack

1.00goals per match
Dortmund conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.80
1H goals scored
0.20
0.50
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
4.00
Corners against
3.60
10.30
Match total
8.30
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
2.60N=10
4.70
Match total
4.10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

9.00N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
22.00
Match total
23.40

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
6.50
On target
3.10
21%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches275
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home59.9%57.5%-2.5 pp
Draw23.3%26.9%+3.6 pp
Away16.7%15.6%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.6%
Over 2.552.4%
Over 3.530.5%
BTTS53.5%

Historical average

1.890.91

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.8%
2-111.3%
2-010.9%
1-08.7%
3-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.343.87
Average total10.21

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=275.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.565.8%
Over 9.554.5%
Over 10.545.1%
Over 11.534.9%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches72
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT41.7%31.0%–53.2% CI
Draw FT41.7%31.0%–53.2% CI
Away FT16.7%9.8%–26.9% CI

Remaining goals

1.51

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals19.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.5%
Away48.6%