Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-08 · 14:30
12.8034.2%
X3.4627.7%
22.5138.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Augsburg
WDDLLWWWWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
FC Koln
DLLLLDDLDL
0W 4D 6L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
0.50
0.90
Conceded
2.50
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.60
1H goals
1.50
1.50
2H goals
1.50
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.40
Against
5.60
9.20
Total
10.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
0.50
0.90
Goals conceded
2.50
2.10
Total goals
3.00
50%5/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Augsburg attack

1.20goals per match
FC Koln conceded2.50
Matchup

FC Koln attack

0.50goals per match
Augsburg conceded0.90
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.20
40%4/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
10%1/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.20
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.30
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.40
Corners against
5.60
9.20
Match total
10.70
60%6/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.90N=10
For
2.00N=10
4.90
Match total
3.40
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

14.20N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
25.70
Match total
21.70

Shots

12.40N=10
Shots
8.80N=10
4.20
On target
2.60
10%
Conversion
6%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches312
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.2%34.9%+0.7 pp
Draw27.7%29.5%+1.8 pp
Away38.1%35.6%-2.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.547.8%
Over 3.529.2%
BTTS56.7%

Historical average

1.321.32

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.4%
0-110.3%
1-09.0%
0-08.7%
2-17.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.095.19
Average total10.28

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=312.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.2%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.544.6%
Over 11.535.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches96
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.1%20.1%–37.8% CI
Draw FT38.5%29.4%–48.5% CI
Away FT33.3%24.7%–43.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.9%
2+ goals36.5%
3+ goals14.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home45.8%
Away50.0%