Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-02 · 16:30
12.3341.1%
X3.6526.3%
22.9432.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Werder Bremen
WLWWLLWLWL
5W 0D 5L · 1.50 PPM
Hoffenheim
LDWDLLLLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
1.90
70%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.70
1.70
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
2.80N=10
For
4.40N=10
4.30
Against
5.40
7.10
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
1.90
3.10
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Werder Bremen attack
1.70goals per matchHoffenheim conceded1.90Matchup
Hoffenheim attack
1.10goals per matchWerder Bremen conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
2.80N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
4.30
Corners against
5.40
7.10
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.20
Match total
4.60
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.20N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
22.60
Match total
26.30
Shots
11.50N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
5.00
On target
3.60
15%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches289
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.1%38.4%-2.7 pp
Draw26.3%28.4%+2.1 pp
Away32.6%33.2%+0.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.8%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.534.9%
BTTS57.1%
Historical average
1.48–1.31
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.8%
1-29.7%
1-09.0%
2-27.6%
0-07.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.15–4.73
Average total9.88
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=288.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.9%
Over 9.553.1%
Over 10.542.0%
Over 11.529.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.6%22.2%–42.7% CI
Draw FT42.1%31.6%–53.3% CI
Away FT26.3%17.7%–37.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.42
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.4%
2+ goals36.8%
3+ goals18.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.6%
Away46.1%