Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 17:30
11.4964.3%
X5.1118.7%
25.6417.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Bayern Munich
DWWWWDDWWW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Dortmund
LLWLLWWWWD
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

3.60
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

2.60
1H goals
1.60
2.00
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

7.00N=10
For
7.10N=10
3.80
Against
5.20
10.80
Total
12.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
3.60
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.50
4.60
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

3.60goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.50
Matchup

Dortmund attack

1.50goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
2.20
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
90%9/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.00N=10
Corners for
7.10N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.20
10.80
Match total
12.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.30
Match total
4.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

8.70N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
17.50
Match total
22.70

Shots

20.60N=10
Shots
16.00N=10
9.10
On target
7.30
17%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches13
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.3%76.9%+12.6 pp
Draw18.7%7.7%-11.0 pp
Away17.0%15.4%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.569.2%
Over 3.546.2%
BTTS38.5%

Historical average

2.690.92

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-015.4%
1-015.4%
3-27.7%
2-17.7%
5-27.7%

Comparable corner averages

6.154.08
Average total10.23

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=13.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.553.8%
Over 9.546.2%
Over 10.530.8%
Over 11.523.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Draw FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI
Away FT20.0%5.7%–51.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.70

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal80.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals20.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away30.0%