Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 14:30
11.5362.6%
X4.5021.3%
25.9416.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

RB Leipzig
WWWWWDWLWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Mainz
WLLWLLDLWD
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.90
80%
Over 2.5
50%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.90
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.10N=10
For
5.50N=10
3.70
Against
4.70
8.80
Total
10.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.90
3.20
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

RB Leipzig attack

2.40goals per match
Mainz conceded1.90
Matchup

Mainz attack

1.30goals per match
RB Leipzig conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.20
1H goals scored
0.50
0.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.80
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.90
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.10N=10
Corners for
5.50N=10
3.70
Corners against
4.70
8.80
Match total
10.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
90%9/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.00
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
14.30N=10
21.70
Match total
24.90

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
5.50
On target
3.90
19%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches179
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.6%68.2%+5.6 pp
Draw21.3%20.1%-1.2 pp
Away16.1%11.7%-4.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.578.2%
Over 2.555.9%
Over 3.534.1%
BTTS49.7%

Historical average

2.160.79

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.5%
1-111.7%
2-18.9%
3-08.9%
2-08.4%

Comparable corner averages

6.563.50
Average total10.06

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=179.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.2%
Over 9.550.8%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT53.7%40.6%–66.3% CI
Draw FT35.2%23.8%–48.5% CI
Away FT11.1%5.2%–22.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.61

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals50.0%
3+ goals18.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.8%
Away42.6%