Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-04-01 · 14:30
11.6657.6%
X3.9324.3%
25.2918.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Freiburg
DWWWWDWWDW
7W 3D 0L · 2.40 PPM
Hertha
WDLLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.00
0.70
Conceded
2.40
50%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

3.90N=10
For
4.00N=10
3.50
Against
5.70
7.40
Total
9.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.00
0.70
Goals conceded
2.40
2.60
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.90goals per match
Hertha conceded2.40
Matchup

Hertha attack

1.00goals per match
Freiburg conceded0.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.20
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
3.90N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
3.50
Corners against
5.70
7.40
Match total
9.70
30%3/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.20
Match total
4.00
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
24.90
Match total
24.10

Shots

12.50N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.70
On target
3.80
15%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches288
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.6%61.5%+3.9 pp
Draw24.3%20.5%-3.8 pp
Away18.1%18.1%-0.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.6%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.527.4%
BTTS48.3%

Historical average

1.780.90

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.9%
2-110.4%
2-010.4%
1-19.0%
3-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.143.83
Average total9.97

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=288.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.8%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches82
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT48.8%38.3%–59.4% CI
Draw FT35.4%25.9%–46.2% CI
Away FT15.9%9.5%–25.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.29

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.8%
2+ goals35.4%
3+ goals12.2%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.2%
Away35.4%