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Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 18:30

Mainz

vs

Freiburg

12.1644.3%
X3.4827.5%
23.4028.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mainz
DDWLDLWWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Freiburg
WDDLWLLLWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM

Goals

2.20
Scored
1.10
1.10
Conceded
2.30
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
2.20
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.00N=10
For
3.90N=10
3.80
Against
5.70
8.80
Total
9.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.20
Goals scored
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded
2.30
3.30
Total goals
3.40
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Mainz attack

2.20goals per match
Freiburg conceded2.30
Matchup

Freiburg attack

1.10goals per match
Mainz conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.30
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.70
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.50
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.00N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
3.80
Corners against
5.70
8.80
Match total
9.60
40%4/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.30N=10
3.70
Match total
4.50
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.70N=10
Committed
12.00N=10
23.20
Match total
25.10

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
5.30
On target
3.40
16%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches595
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.3%44.5%+0.2 pp
Draw27.5%27.1%-0.5 pp
Away28.2%28.4%+0.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.1%
Over 2.546.6%
Over 3.526.4%
BTTS53.1%

Historical average

1.47–1.11

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
1-011.8%
0-19.4%
2-19.1%
0-06.7%

Comparable corner averages

5.59–4.37
Average total9.95

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=595.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.553.8%
Over 10.540.8%
Over 11.528.2%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches191
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT33.0%26.7%–39.9% CI
Draw FT35.6%29.2%–42.6% CI
Away FT31.4%25.3%–38.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.34

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal79.1%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away51.3%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamMainzForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamFreiburgForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareMainz vs FreiburgCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionBundesligaLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsBundesliga team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.