Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 16:30
14.8819.6%
X4.7520.2%
21.5960.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Leverkusen
LDWDWWWLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Bayern Munich
DLDWWWDWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Goals
2.40
Scored
1.90
1.20
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.90
2.30
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.80
Against
4.40
9.00
Total
9.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.60
Total goals
3.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Leverkusen attack
2.40goals per matchBayern Munich conceded1.30Matchup
Bayern Munich attack
1.90goals per matchLeverkusen conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.40
9.00
Match total
9.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.00
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.30N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
26.30
Match total
20.70
Shots
14.80N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
6.30
On target
5.20
16%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.6%10.0%-9.6 pp
Draw20.2%10.0%-10.2 pp
Away60.2%80.0%+19.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.590.0%
Over 3.570.0%
BTTS70.0%
Historical average
1.20–2.80
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-320.0%
0-320.0%
2-410.0%
0-110.0%
2-310.0%
Comparable corner averages
3.80–4.90
Average total8.70
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.520.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.08
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals38.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home46.2%
Away76.9%