Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-19 · 16:30
14.8819.6%
X4.7520.2%
21.5960.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Leverkusen
LDWDWWWLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Bayern Munich
DLDWWWDWLW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM

Goals

2.40
Scored
1.90
1.20
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.90
2.30
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.80N=10
3.80
Against
4.40
9.00
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.40
Goals scored
1.90
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.60
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Leverkusen attack

2.40goals per match
Bayern Munich conceded1.30
Matchup

Bayern Munich attack

1.90goals per match
Leverkusen conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
70%7/10
1.50
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.80N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.40
9.00
Match total
9.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.00
Match total
3.50
80%8/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

12.30N=10
Committed
9.00N=10
26.30
Match total
20.70

Shots

14.80N=10
Shots
15.20N=10
6.30
On target
5.20
16%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches10
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.6%10.0%-9.6 pp
Draw20.2%10.0%-10.2 pp
Away60.2%80.0%+19.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.590.0%
Over 2.590.0%
Over 3.570.0%
BTTS70.0%

Historical average

1.202.80

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-320.0%
0-320.0%
2-410.0%
0-110.0%
2-310.0%

Comparable corner averages

3.804.90
Average total8.70

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=10.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.0%
Over 9.560.0%
Over 10.530.0%
Over 11.520.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches13
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.4%4.3%–42.2% CI
Draw FT30.8%12.7%–57.6% CI
Away FT53.8%29.1%–76.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.08

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.6%
2+ goals61.5%
3+ goals38.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home46.2%
Away76.9%