Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 17:30
11.4665.6%
X4.8119.9%
26.6214.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Dortmund
LWWDWWWWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
FC Koln
WDLLLLDDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

2.90
Scored
0.80
1.10
Conceded
2.10
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.90
1H goals
1.40
2.10
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.50N=10
For
4.90N=10
3.90
Against
6.00
10.40
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.90
Goals scored
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded
2.10
4.00
Total goals
2.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Dortmund attack

2.90goals per match
FC Koln conceded2.10
Matchup

FC Koln attack

0.80goals per match
Dortmund conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.50
1H goals scored
0.50
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
1.40
2H goals scored
0.30
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.00
10.40
Match total
10.90
70%7/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
2.10N=10
5.10
Match total
3.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
22.50
Match total
22.70

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
9.50N=10
6.00
On target
2.60
19%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches166
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home65.6%70.5%+4.9 pp
Draw19.9%22.3%+2.4 pp
Away14.5%7.2%-7.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.7%
Over 2.566.9%
Over 3.542.2%
BTTS53.6%

Historical average

2.430.81

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.3%
3-110.2%
3-09.0%
0-08.4%
2-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

6.453.30
Average total9.75

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=166.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.0%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.539.8%
Over 11.527.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches49
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.0%37.5%–64.4% CI
Draw FT40.8%28.2%–54.8% CI
Away FT8.2%3.2%–19.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.67

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.4%
2+ goals51.0%
3+ goals26.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.3%
Away34.7%