Bundesliga · 2022/23
2023-03-18 · 14:30
12.0845.9%
X3.5826.7%
23.4927.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Hoffenheim
WDLLLLDLLL
1W 2D 7L · 0.50 PPM
Hertha
LWDLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.10
Scored
0.90
2.00
Conceded
2.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.30
1H goals
1.50
1.80
2H goals
1.60
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.60N=10
4.60
Against
5.40
10.80
Total
9.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.10
Goals scored
0.90
2.00
Goals conceded
2.20
3.10
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Hoffenheim attack

1.10goals per match
Hertha conceded2.20
Matchup

Hertha attack

0.90goals per match
Hoffenheim conceded2.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.20
1.00
1H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
5.40
10.80
Match total
9.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.30N=10
For
2.30N=10
4.30
Match total
4.00
70%7/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

13.30N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.10
Match total
23.80

Shots

13.90N=10
Shots
11.90N=10
5.20
On target
3.80
8%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches265
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.9%43.0%-2.9 pp
Draw26.7%27.9%+1.2 pp
Away27.4%29.1%+1.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.0%
Over 2.554.3%
Over 3.529.1%
BTTS57.0%

Historical average

1.561.18

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.8%
2-19.8%
1-08.3%
0-17.9%
1-27.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.394.45
Average total9.84

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=265.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.8%
Over 9.551.7%
Over 10.541.5%
Over 11.529.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches81
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT34.6%25.1%–45.4% CI
Draw FT39.5%29.6%–50.4% CI
Away FT25.9%17.6%–36.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.54

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal77.8%
2+ goals48.1%
3+ goals21.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home56.8%
Away51.9%